美国金融危机影响中国经济传导路径和机制

2007年4月,全美第二大次级抵押贷款机构——新世纪金融公司申请破产保护,点燃了美国金融危机的导火索。随着危机的不断蔓延,各国金融市场遭受重创,全球金融体系陷入混乱,并迅速波及实体经济,致使全球经济陷入衰退。中国作为一个处于全球化进程中的大国,在这场金融风暴中亦没有幸免。本文首先在金融危机传导和机制理论的基础上,对美国金融危机传导的国际路径进行了系统研究。其中,探讨了美国金融危机爆发的背景,并浅析浅析了金融危机在金融市场内部如何传导,又是如何从金融市场传导至实体经济的,接着根据金融危机在全球经济的渗透过程,研究了美国金融危机如何重创世界经济的。通过理清金融危机的传导链,为后文研究金融危机向中国经济的传导路径和机制提供了理论和技术支持。在此基础上,本文结合金融危机背景下我国经济的失衡状况,重点研究了美国金融危机是如何波及我国金融及实体经济的。长期以来,中国形成了靠外需拉动经济的增长模式,造成了经济内外部严重失衡,决定了相对于金融体系而言,中国的实体经济更容易受到金融危机的冲击。基于此,文章从贸易渠道、金融渠道、产业联动效应与心理渠道四条路径研究了金融危机对中国经济的传导机制,其中重点浅析浅析了金融危机对出口与投资、就业的影响。最后,本文以调整经济增长模式、推动产业结构升级为基调,从宏观和微观两个角度提出了中国经济应对美国金融危机的对策,并归纳出美国金融危机对我国经济发展启迪。

【Abstract】wWw.shuoshilunwen.com In April 2007, the second-largest subprime mortgage lenders in USA - New Century Financial filed for bankruptcy protection, lit the fuse of the U.S. financial crisis. As the crisis has spread, the world’s financial markets suffered hey losses, the global financial system was trapped into chaos, and the real economy was quickly involved, resulting in the global economy into recession. As a big country, which is in the process of globalization, China has not been spared in this financial turmoil.Firstly, based on the theory of conduction path and mechanis of the financial crisis,studied the international path of conduction of the U.S. financial crisis systematically. It explored the background of the U.S. financial crisis, and analyzed how the financial crisis traner in the financial markets internally, but also how it affected the real economy. then, according to the penetration process of the financial crisis in the global economy, studied how the U.S. financial crisis hit the world economy. It provided theoretical and technical support for us to study the conduction pathways and mechanis of to China’s economy through sorting out the financial crisis tranission chain.Subsequently, this dissertation, based on the state of China’s economic imbalances in the background of financial crisis, focused on how the U.S. financial crisis spread to China’s financial and real economy. For a long time, China’s economy is driven by external demand, which resulted in serious internal and external imbalances. At the same time, it determined China’s real economy is more vulnerable to financial crisis compared with the financial system. Therefore, the financial crisis tranission mechani to China’s economy was studied from four paths: the trade channels, financial channels, industrial linkage effects and psychological channels.Finally, based on the keynote that adjusting the economic growth model and promoting industrial upgrading, how should China’s economy do in order was put forward from macroscopic and microcoic angle separately. Then, it sum up several enlightenment to China’s economic development from the U.S. financial crisis.

【关键词】 美国金融危机;中国经济;传导路径;机制;
【Key words】 The U.S. financial crisis;Economy of China;conduction path;mechani;

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