基于面板数据中国地区间税收负担因素

革新开放几十年来,中国经济的飞速发展有目共睹,但是伴随着经济腾飞的同时,社会贫富差距、地区差异拉大等社会不足越来越突出。地区差距过大将会给社会经济乃至国家安全带来一定的负面影响:地区差距过大将影响一国的整体经济增长,根据“木桶原理”,落后地区的发展最终将制约全国的发展水平和发展状况;地区差距过大会引致较高的失业率和严重的通货膨胀,从而影响一国的宏观经济稳定;地区差距过大容易使落后地区效率外溢,挫伤落后地区发展的积极性,不利于社会稳定。其中地区间税负水平的差异也是导致我国区域间非均衡性的重要因素之一。目前各地区的实际税负水平从高到低依次为东部直辖市、东部沿海省区、西部地区和中部地区。随着我国经济的迅速发展,各地区税负水平也呈现逐步上升的趋势,但上升幅度差异较大。东部直辖市税负水平提高迅速,东部沿海省区税负上升较快,中西部地区税负呈平稳发展态势。本文在收集和整理了大量研究数据的基础上,将我国31个省市划分为4个区域,提出了税收负担与经济发展水平、产业结构、税制结构、物价水平、所有制结构、税收征管水平、人民生活水平之间的七个检测设。围绕上述检测设提出了研究思路和策略,并构建了计量模型,设定了人均GDP、第二产业比重、第三产业比重、增值税比重等九个指标。实证浅析浅析结果具有代表性。依据实证浅析浅析结果所提出的降低我国整体宏观税负水平,优化我国的税收结构,统一我国的税收优惠政策,重视税收征管水平等政策倡议对我国新一轮的税制革新也具有一定的启迪作用。

【Abstract】wWw.shuoshilunwen.com Decades of reforming and opening up, China has witnessed rapid economic development, but go along with economic growth, social inequality, widening regional disparities and other social problems are becoming increasingly prominent. Regional disparities through general socio-economic and even national security will bring about negative effects:Regional Disparity in general affect a country’s overall economic growth. According to "bucket theory", the development of backward areas will ultimately restrict the development of the country’s development level and conditions; region disparities can lead to high unemployment and serious inflation, which affects a country’s macroeconomic stability; the efficiency of the backward areas easily spill with large regional gap, dampen the enthusia of the development of backward areas is not conducive to social stability.The order of the current level of actual tax burden in all regions is the eastern coastal provinces, the western region and central region. As China’s rapid economic development, regional tax burden also show a gradual upward trend, but the rise was quite different. Level of tax burden increase rapidly in eastern municipality and in eastern coastal provinces, central and western regions was stable development trend.In this paper, a large number of collection data which based on the 31 provinces of China is divided into four regions, reveal the relationship between the seven assumptions (economic development, industrial structure, tax structure, the price level, ownership structure, level of tax collection, and the living standards) and tax burden. Around the assumption propose the ideas and methods, and build a measurement model, set,nine indicators such as the per capita GDP, the proportion of secondary industry, tertiary industry, the proportion of value-added tax. The empirical results are representative. The proposition of reducing the overall tax burden, optimizing our tax structure, unifying tax policies in China, paying attention to the level of tax collection which based on the empirical result will make some inspiration on a new round of tax reform in China.

【关键词】 税收负担;税负差异;地区间税负比较;
【Key words】 tax burden;Tax differences;Comparison of inter-regional tax;

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