美国次贷危机对中国经济影响

次贷危机又称次级房贷危机或次级贷款危机,是次级房屋抵押贷款危机或次级按揭贷款危机的简称。次贷危机是发生于美国的一场由于众多次级抵押贷款机构破产而引起投资基金被迫关闭、股市剧烈震荡并连锁反应波及全球经济的金融风暴。2007年4月,以美国新世纪房屋贷款公司申请破产保护为开端,美国次级贷款的风险开始显露,随后风险迅速扩散至以次级贷款为支持的各类证券化产品。7月,美国第五大投资银行贝尔斯登旗下的对冲基金因投资次贷遭受损失进而面临破产的消息引发了全球范围的金融市场动荡。大量住房抵押贷款公司濒临破产,对冲基金被迫清盘,投资银行宣布亏损,商业银行和保险机构也遭受了重大损失,全球股市应声下跌,次贷引发的信用风险最终演变成一场全球性金融危机。处于全球化进程的中国也无法避开受其波及。次贷危机仍在继续,其对中国经济的影响至今仍未完全展露。本文试图对美国次贷危机进行定性浅析浅析。首先介绍了次贷危机发生的经济背景,从历史角度浅析浅析次贷危机发生的理由。然后详细浅析浅析了次级贷款业务的演变和发展,详述其中的漏洞并从微观角度推导了危机的产生和传导过程。在此基础上从宏观角度浅析浅析了次贷危机的成因。并进一步叙述了次贷危机对美国经济和世界经济的影响。此后,又在此基础上浅析浅析了次贷危机对中国经济的影响。文章将美国次贷危机对中国经济的影响分为直接影响和间接影响,直接影响包括由于投资次贷而造成的国内金融机构的直接损失和由于各基金为了弥补次贷危机的亏损可能从中国大量抽逃资金从而导致热钱的流向变化。而由于热钱的变化和受其他因素影响国内股市和楼市将跟随美国而起舞。由此,次贷危机的影响扩散到中国股市和楼市。与此同时,由于次贷危机引起美国消费需求的减少,对美国出口严重依赖的中国对外贸易和国内投资必将受到影响。这种影响又通过连锁反应影响到中国的就业情况和中国的国内消费。通过上文对危机的成因和对中国经济影响的浅析浅析,本文最后归纳出次贷危机对中国的启迪。

【Abstract】wWw.shuoshilunwen.com Subprime crisis is also called subprime mortgage crisis or subprime lending crisis. The subprime crisis is an ongoing financial crisis happened in the United States triggered by numerous Subprime mortgage institutions bankruptcy. And it cause investment funds forced to closure, the stock market violent shock and will sweep global economy.April 2007, with New Century Financial Corporation application bankruptcy protection for starting point, the financial risk of the subprime mortgage crisis is exposed little by little.Later the risk rapidly diffusion to products of securities based on subprime mortgage. June 2007,the information that hedge fund of the fifth great investment bank of America Bear Stearns Companies investment subprime mortgage suffer loss and will face with bankruptcy cause the unrest of financial market in the global range. A large number of Home Mortgage Loan companies he been on the verge of bankruptcy. Alot of hedge funds are forced to clean an abacus.Many commercial banks and safety mechanis also suffer hey losses. With the global stock markets falling, credit risk caused by subprime lending finally become a global financial crisis.China in the globalization process can not oide its influence. Subprime crisis is still going on, and up to now the influence of subprime crisis on Chinese economic development is not completely expose.This paper make a qualitative analysis on American subprime crisis.First, it introduces the economic background of subprime crisis, and investigated the caused of subprime crisis from the perspectives of history. Secondly, it analyze the evolution and development of subprime lending business. The causes of subprime crisis is presented in this paper with a detailed recount of subprime lending business vulnerability. Based on this analysis, the influence of subprime crisis on Chinese economy is exposed. This article divides the infuence of subprime crisis on Chinese economy into directly influence and indirect influence. The directly influence include the direct losses of domestic financial mechanis and the flow change of hot money caused by subprime crisis. Because of the flow change of hot money, Chinese domestic stock market and real estate market follow the fluctuating of American economy. Because of the decrease of American consumption demand caused by subprime crisis, heily depending on export China’s foreign trade and domestic investment will be surely impacted. This kind of influence through a chain reaction affects the employment situation in China and China’s domestic consumption.By analyzing the causes of subprime crisis and the infuence of subprime crisis on Chinese economy, finally this paper conclude the inspiration to China. We should make a long-term and sound monetary policy, strengthen bank management, perfect financial supervision. By the implementation of these measures we can oide appear similar phenomenon in American subprime crisis.

【关键词】 次贷危机;中国经济;资产证券化;热钱;
【Key words】 subprime crisis;China economy;asset securitization;hot money;

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