我国上市公司外资并购绩效实证

自2001年以来,随着一系列涉及我国资本市场对外开放的重要法规和办法的相继出台,外资并购我国上市公司的制度性障碍已经排除;目前,外资并购已在我国证券市场上兴起,成为了我国证券市场上一个持续的热门话题。从2001年和2004年,有36家国内上市公司发生了外资并购事件,是2001以前所有年份的外资并购事件的四倍左右,同时也为本文研究外资并购绩效提供了足够的样本数据。在我国,对上市公司外资并购这一现象缺乏深入系统的实证研究;本文针对已有实证研究中存在的不足,收集了从1995年至2004年所有的46家上市公司的外资并购事件,并从中选取有效样本对外资并购的绩效进行实证研究。文中主要采用了事件研究法和会计研究法对有效样本进行研究,根据现代证券估价理论(股价是预期未来流的现值),事件研究法通过计算由于外资并购引起的目标上市公司股票的累计平均超额收益率来前瞻性地判断外资并购是否给我国上市公司带来绩效;同时,本文还将使用会计研究法,以防止我国证券市场有效性不高以及股价操纵行为扭曲事件研究法的结论。通过事件研究法我们发现,市场从总体上对上市公司外资并购事件作出了积极反应,投资者普遍将外资并购事件视为利好消息,即普遍认为外资并购将提高目标上市公司绩效;另外,会计研究的结果也表明发生外资并购的上市公司的财务绩效从总体上得到了改善,并且这种改善具有一定的持续性;事件研究法和会计研究法的实证结果基本上相互印证,因此,本文认为外资并购给我国上市公司带来了较为明显的绩效。本文研究的创新之处主要有:(1)系统研究了我国上市公司外资并购的绩效不足;(2)分别采用了平均股价、累积平均收益率、累计平均超额收益率三个不同的指标来估算外资并购的股价效应;(3)在会计研究法中,利用主成分浅析浅析策略对财务指标体系进行合成,得到财务绩效的综合得分,然后对外资并购前后的绩效综合得分进行对比检验。论文范文

【Abstract】 With the issue of a series of important rule of law and regulation about china’s capital market opening to foreign capital , The institutional barriers of foreign capital merging the listed company in China’s capital market he been eliminated; With the boom of Foreign capital M&A, it has become a continual hot topic in china’s capital market. From 2001 to 2004, there he happened 36 events of foreign capital merging the listed company, which was about four times as much as the M&A events happened before 2001, which provide enough samples to make a performance positive study on foreign capital merging and acquiring listed companies.In our country, the positive studies on foreign capital merging listed company are not enough systemic; according to the shortage of paper in existence, this paper collect 46 events of foreign capital merging listed company from 2001 to 2004, from which this paper selected ailable sample to make the study. This paper mainly apply the Event-study Methodology and Accounting-study Methodology, according to the modern evaluation theory(share price is the present value of future cash flow), the former judge in forward-looking way whether foreign capital improve the performance of listed companies through estimate the Cumulative Average Abnormal Residual(CAAR) caused by foreign capital M&A. At the same time, this paper also apply the Accounting-study Methodology to oid that weak efficiency and manipulating stock prices in china’s capital market distort the theory of Event-study.Through Event-study, we find that investors recognize foreign capital M&A as a good new at large, and believe that foreign capital M&A will improve the performance of target listed companies; through Accounting-study, we find foreign capital M&A actually improve the finance performance of target listed companies, and the improvement is sustained in certainextent; experiential result of the two kind of study confirm each other, so, we think that foreign capital M&A actually improve the performance of listed companies in china’s capital market.There are several innovations in this paper:(l) It systematically study foreign capital merging listed company; (2) It apply erage share price, Cumulative Average Residual anc Cumulative Average Abnormal Residual to estimate impact to share price target listed compan> caused by foreign capital M&A. (3) In Accounting-study, it apply the analytical method ol principal components to compute compositive score of finance index, then compare the score after M&A to it before M&A.论文范文

【关键词】 上市公司;外资并购;绩效;实证研究;
【Key words】 listed company;foreign capital M&A;finance performance;positive study;

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