税收激励和企业投资行为:基于上市公司数据实证

自革新开放以来,我国的经济取得了突飞猛进的发展,中国经济的高速增长已受到世界瞩目。在推动经济增长的各个因素中,投资发挥了至关重要的作用。我国一直致力于营造一个良好的投资环境,无论是从宏观角度还是微观角度,企业投资都引起了社会各界的广泛关注。我国在不同行业、不同地区范围内,企业的投资规模存在着千差万别,其中在研究企业投资决策的影响因素方面,税收激励就是一个重要的领域。在我国,税收政策究竞对企业投资决策的影响有多大?在不同行业、不同地区范围内,各税种对企业投资规模的影响有何不同?面对国家发展战略的调控,我们如何通过税收政策来为产业转移和区域平衡发展做出贡献?以上这些不足都无一不值得我们深思。本文在总结投资决定相关理论和国内外学者实证研究成果的基础上,结合我国的实际情况,先后对三个面板数据样本进行GMM估计,分别从总体、分地区和分行业角度检验了税收政策在投资决策中的影响,并对地区影响因素作了试探性研究。本文的样本以2002-2009年在沪深两市上市的A股公司作为研究对象,时间跨度8年,涵盖了全国31个省、市、自治区,包括11个行业。这在一定程度上弥补了国内从微观层面上探讨这一不足的空缺与不足?为研究税收政策与企业投资之间的关系提供了一个全面系统的实证考察。在地区因素的考察方面,本文结合了地方之间的财政竞争对策,首次将经济集聚变量纳入文中,尝试对地方的经济集聚效应作尝试性探究。通过模型检验,我们可以得到以下几个结论:无论是在总体、分行业还是分地区的情况下,税收确实对投资起到了抑制作用,但在不同样本下,各税种对投资的抑制强弱也有所差异,由此可为税收政策的制定提供一些思路;我国的经济集聚效应对企业投资并未产生显著的推动作用,尤其在中、西部地区,经济集聚效应本身就很微弱;在东部地区,企业投资规模的增加会导致资本品上升,而在中、西部地区并未发现这一现象,说明了我国东部地区的市场经济化程度已经达到了较高水平,而中、西部地区还保有计划经济的色彩,在经济领域受政策调控影响比较大:企业对于本期投资规模的决定要依据上一期的资本存量和投资水平,并且上一期投资对本期投资水平的影响要大于上一期的资本存量,这在一定程度上表明了现代企业的融资能力得到大大增强。此外,企业的盈利能力的增强也会对投资起到推动作用,而人力资本却与企业投资的关系不明确。以上这些结论都验证了税收在微观层面对企业投资的影响,同时在对实证结果的浅析浅析中也暴露了我国在产业结构和区域发展中存在的不合理现象,由此为我国税收政策的制定提供了一些启迪。政府在制定相关税收政策时,应重点关注影响力较大的行业和税种,提高税收政策的执行力和效率,同时税务机关应严格监管税收的征收管理,缩小我国名义税率和实际税率的差异,从而充分发挥税收对经济的宏观调节作用。

【Abstract】wWw.shuoshilunwen.com Since the reform and opening up, China’s economy has achieved rapid development, which causes the world’s attention. During the various factors of promotion of economic growth, investment has played a crucial role. China has always been committed to creating a forable investment environment From both the macro and micro perspective, company’s investment has caused widespread concern in the community. Investment behior is vastly different in different range of industries and regions. Among them, in the factors of company’s investment decision-making, the area of tax incentives is an important part. What’s the extent of tax policy’s impact on company’s investment decision on earth in China? What is the difference of tax policy’s impact on company’s investment decision between different industries and different regions? What can we do to the contribution of Industrial traner and regional balanced development though tax policy facing the control of the national development strategy? These issues are all worthy of our consideration.This paper does GMM estimation to three samples of panel data on the basis of summing up the theory of investment decisions and drawing lessons from previous domestic and foreign empirical research. It examines the tax policy’s impact on the investment decision from the whole, sub-regional and sub-industry perspective, and does exploratory study on regional factors. This paper uses the sample of 2002-2009 in Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed companies as the research object covering 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions, including 11 industries, which fills the vacancy and insufficiency of the domestic research from the micro level to some extent and provides a comprehensive and systematic empirical study on the relations between the tax policy and company’s investment. In the investigation of region factors, the paper combines the strategy of fiscal competition between locals, gathering the variable of economic cluster into the text, trying to explore the effect of local economy cluster.Though the model examination, we can draw the following several basic conclusions:The tax does play an inhibitory effect on investment no matter in general, sub-sectors or sub-regional circumstances. However, the inhibition of the tax on investment is different in different samples, which can provide some ideas to the formulation of tax policy. China’s economic cluster effect has not gathered significant role in promoting company’s investment. Especially in central and western regions. the economic cluster effect itself is very weak. In the eastern region, the increase in company’s investment will lead to higher prices of capital goods, while the phenomenon has not found in the central and western regions, which shows the market economy in eastern China has reached a higher degree level, while planned economy still existences in central and western regions, which are influenced by national control in economic area. Company’s investment decisions for the current period should be based on a level of capital stock and investment in the last period, and the previous period’s investment dose a greater effect on the current investment than the previous period’s capital stock, which shows that the financing capacity of the modern enterprise was greatly enhanced to some extent.. In addition, the enhanced profitability of the company will also play a role in promoting investment, while the relation between investment and human capital is not clear. All these conclusions can verify the tax policy’s impact on company’s investment. In the analysis of empirical results, it also exposed anomaly phenomenon in China’s industrial structure and regional development, thus to provide some enlightenment in the formulation of tax policy. In the formulation of related tax policies, government should focus on industries and taxes which he greater influences, and increase the efficiency and implementation of tax policy. While the tax authorities should be strict to monitoring the collection and management of revenue, reducing the differences between nominal tax rate and real tax rate to maximize the effect of tax policy on the economy’s macro-regulation.

【关键词】 税收激励;投资;上市公司;经济集聚;
【Key words】 Tax incentives;Investment behior;Listed companies;Economic cluster;

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